The article critically evaluates the anticipated Union Budget 2025 under Prime Minister Narendra Modi's government, particularly focusing on its implications for farmers and agricultural workers in India. The author argues that the previous ten budgets have largely benefited corporate interests at the expense of the agrarian community.
Key Points:
Previous Budgets' Impact on Agriculture:
- The article states that earlier budgets have consistently failed to address the needs of farmers and agricultural workers.
- There has been a significant drop in budget allocations for agriculture and allied sectors, from 5.44% in 2019 to 3.15% in 2024.
- The last budget slashed food and fertilizer subsidies by substantial amounts, exacerbating the agrarian crisis.
Farmers' Plight:
- Statistics reveal a tragic scenario with over 100,000 farmer suicides recorded between 2015 and 2022.
- India ranks poorly on the Global Hunger Index, indicating severe food insecurity.
Proposed Policies and Legislation:
- The government's Draft “National Policy Framework on Agricultural Marketing” is seen as an attempt to reintroduce aspects of the controversial Farm Laws, which were repealed due to widespread protests.
- Implementation of the four contentious Labour Codes is expected to begin in April 2025, having faced significant resistance from the working class.
Essential Demands from the Budget:
- Minimum Support Price (MSP): Call for a statutory MSP at C2+50% of the production cost to alleviate farmer indebtedness.
- Cost of Production: A demand for the reduction of prices on essential agricultural inputs like fertilizers and seeds, which have become increasingly expensive.
- Loan Waiver: A complete one-time loan waiver for poor and middle farmers to prevent land alienation and suicides.
- Crop Insurance: Advocacy for a comprehensive insurance scheme, reflecting concerns over climate-induced agricultural risks.
- Investment in Irrigation and Power: The need for increased public sector investment in irrigation projects and power supply to ensure affordable water and electricity for farming.
Challenges from Corporate Interests:
- The article notes the shifting of land ownership towards corporations, undermining the rights of farmers and tribal communities.
- Calls for strict adherence to land acquisition laws and reforms aimed at ensuring land security for small farmers.
Taxation and Inequality:
- The author suggests implementing wealth and inheritance taxes on the wealthy to fund farmer support measures.
- Criticism of the government's corporate tax cuts and the growing inequality in wealth distribution, citing that the richest 1% own a significant portion of the nation's wealth.
Urgent Need for Change:
- A call for a radical departure from past budgetary practices is emphasized, highlighting the urgent need to address the agrarian crisis and restore economic viability for farmers.
In summary, the article outlines a bleak picture for India's agricultural sector and the pressing need for structural changes in policy and budget allocation to support farmers and agricultural workers. The upcoming Union Budget is seen as a critical opportunity to address long-standing issues in the agricultural landscape.

The article critically evaluates the anticipated Union Budget 2025 under Prime Minister Narendra Modi's government, particularly focusing on its implications for farmers and agricultural workers in India. The author argues that the previous ten budgets have largely benefited corporate interests at the expense of the agrarian community.
Key Points:
Previous Budgets' Impact on Agriculture:
- The article states that earlier budgets have consistently failed to address the needs of farmers and agricultural workers.
- There has been a significant drop in budget allocations for agriculture and allied sectors, from 5.44% in 2019 to 3.15% in 2024.
- The last budget slashed food and fertilizer subsidies by substantial amounts, exacerbating the agrarian crisis.
Farmers' Plight:
- Statistics reveal a tragic scenario with over 100,000 farmer suicides recorded between 2015 and 2022.
- India ranks poorly on the Global Hunger Index, indicating severe food insecurity.
Proposed Policies and Legislation:
- The government's Draft “National Policy Framework on Agricultural Marketing” is seen as an attempt to reintroduce aspects of the controversial Farm Laws, which were repealed due to widespread protests.
- Implementation of the four contentious Labour Codes is expected to begin in April 2025, having faced significant resistance from the working class.
Essential Demands from the Budget:
- Minimum Support Price (MSP): Call for a statutory MSP at C2+50% of the production cost to alleviate farmer indebtedness.
- Cost of Production: A demand for the reduction of prices on essential agricultural inputs like fertilizers and seeds, which have become increasingly expensive.
- Loan Waiver: A complete one-time loan waiver for poor and middle farmers to prevent land alienation and suicides.
- Crop Insurance: Advocacy for a comprehensive insurance scheme, reflecting concerns over climate-induced agricultural risks.
- Investment in Irrigation and Power: The need for increased public sector investment in irrigation projects and power supply to ensure affordable water and electricity for farming.
Challenges from Corporate Interests:
- The article notes the shifting of land ownership towards corporations, undermining the rights of farmers and tribal communities.
- Calls for strict adherence to land acquisition laws and reforms aimed at ensuring land security for small farmers.
Taxation and Inequality:
- The author suggests implementing wealth and inheritance taxes on the wealthy to fund farmer support measures.
- Criticism of the government's corporate tax cuts and the growing inequality in wealth distribution, citing that the richest 1% own a significant portion of the nation's wealth.
Urgent Need for Change:
- A call for a radical departure from past budgetary practices is emphasized, highlighting the urgent need to address the agrarian crisis and restore economic viability for farmers.
In summary, the article outlines a bleak picture for India's agricultural sector and the pressing need for structural changes in policy and budget allocation to support farmers and agricultural workers. The upcoming Union Budget is seen as a critical opportunity to address long-standing issues in the agricultural landscape.

Increase in Indian Students Abroad
The article discusses the significant increase in the number of Indian students studying abroad, especially in 2024, alongside the challenges posed by visa restrictions in popular countries like the U.S., U.K., Canada, and Australia. In light of these developments, Indian universities have a potential opportunity to attract more international students and retain domestic students.
Key Points:
- Increase in Indian Students Abroad: The number of Indian students pursuing higher education abroad surged by 47% from 2022 to 2024, reaching approximately 1.33 million.
- Top Destinations: As per the Government of India, Canada leads with 427,000 Indian students, followed by the U.S. (337,630), U.K. (185,000), Australia (122,202), and Germany (42,997).
- Reasons for U.S. Popularity: The U.S. has been a favored destination due to high-quality education, diverse opportunities, post-study work options like OPT (Optional Practical Training), especially for STEM students.
- Canada's Appeal: Canada has become attractive due to its favorable permanent residency pathways and work permit options for students.
- U.K. Strategies: The introduction of the Post-Study Work Visa (Graduate Route) in 2021 significantly boosted foreign student enrollment in the U.K.
- Decline in Enrollment to Major Destinations: Recent policy changes in the U.S. under the Trump administration, alongside U.K. migration restrictions announced by Prime Minister Starmer, have led to declining enrollment rates: 41% drop to Canada, 27% to the U.K., and about 12-13% to the U.S. and Australia.
- Opportunity for Indian Universities: As international visa restrictions tighten in these countries, Indian institutions have a chance to enhance their attractiveness to both foreign and local students, particularly in fields like IT and engineering.
- Demand for Traditional Indian Knowledge: Areas such as Yoga, Ayurveda, and Vedic Literature are becoming increasingly attractive to international students.
- Cost Competitiveness: Indian universities offer quality education at 25% of the cost compared to Western institutions.
- Rising Foreign Student Enrollment in India: The number of foreign students in India has increased by 35% since 2022, with the majority coming from Nepal, Africa, and the Middle East.
- Government Initiatives: The New Education Policy 2020 aims to internationalize education in India through collaboration with foreign institutions to offer joint and dual degree programs.
- Infrastructural Developments: Notable Indian universities are establishing campuses abroad, and collaborations for academic partnerships with foreign universities are increasing.
- Emerging as Education Hub: India can position itself as an Asian education hub by upscaling quality, enhancing infrastructure, and providing post-study work prospects for international students.
Conclusion:
Overall, the article suggests that with the tightening of immigration policies in popular education destinations, India stands to benefit significantly by becoming a favored destination for international students through effective policy measures, infrastructure improvements, and competitive offers in higher education. The government and educational institutions need to work collaboratively to promote the "Study in India" initiative and capitalize on the potential growth in the international education market.
National and international importance

Union Budget 2025 Stimulates Economic Growth
The Union Budget for 2025-26, presented by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman, aims to stimulate India's sluggish economy, characterized by declining domestic demand and inflation impacts. The budget outlines significant changes, including a notable tax relief intended to enhance household spending and consumption, primarily benefiting the middle class.
Key Highlights of the Union Budget 2025-26:
Tax Reforms: The budget introduces a new personal income tax regime that raises the tax-free income threshold from ₹7 lakh to ₹12 lakh. This change means that approximately one crore taxpayers could potentially not pay any income tax, exempting other sources such as capital gains. For salaried individuals, the tax-free limit goes up to ₹12.75 lakh with a standard deduction of ₹75,000.
Household Stimulus: Sitharaman announced a ₹1 lakh crore tax stimulus aimed at boosting disposable income and encouraging consumer spending. The minister emphasized that the adjustments to tax slabs and rates are designed to benefit all taxpayers, aiming to leave more money in hand for the middle class to incentivize consumption, savings, and investments.
Public Expenditure: The capital expenditure budget is set at approximately ₹11.2 lakh crore for 2025-26, up 10.1% from the previous year. The consistent support for state-level infrastructure projects, through 50-year interest-free loans amounting to ₹1.5 lakh crore, continues to be a cornerstone of the government's growth strategy.
Customs Duty Review: A re-evaluation of India’s customs duty structure promises the deletion of seven out of fifteen tariff rates, aimed at simplifying the tariff landscape and potentially reducing costs for various inputs. This reform could strengthen India's manufacturing capacity and make goods more affordable.
Fiscal Responsibility: The Finance Minister projected a decrease in the fiscal deficit to 4.4% of GDP for the 2025-26 fiscal year, slightly below the previous target of 4.5%. The strategy also involves shifting focus to a 'debt-to-GDP' metric in the coming years, aspiring for a ratio of around 50% by March 2031, thus ensuring fiscal flexibility and sustainability.
Business Environment: Numerous measures aimed at deregulating and enhancing economic freedom for businesses were also proposed, signaling a government commitment to facilitate ease of operations. This includes a move to decriminalize approximately 100 legal provisions in various statutes.
Additional Context:
- The budget reflects an acknowledgment of the challenges posed by post-pandemic economic realities, including stagnant demand and inflation, which have affected consumption patterns.
- Experts believe the household stimulus, though significant, is a limited measure that must be accompanied by broader fiscal and monetary strategies to stimulate private investments effectively.
- The government is ensuring that public capital expenditure remains a priority, emphasizing its importance in driving economic multipliers amidst concerns of a rising fiscal burden.
In summary, the Union Budget for 2025-26 has ambitious goals to revive economic momentum through tax cuts aimed at households, an increase in public spending, and reforms in customs duties while maintaining a focus on sustainable fiscal practices.
Economic and Social Development

Highlights of 2025 Union Budget
In the 2025 Union Budget presented by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman, significant developments were announced aimed at bolstering the startup ecosystem in India. The key highlights of the budget include:
- The government is expanding its commitment to Alternate Investment Funds (AIFs), with an additional ₹10,000 crore allocated through a Fund of Funds (FoF), administered by the Small Industries Development Bank of India (SIDBI).
- AIFs are crucial for high-risk startups as they facilitate investments from high-net-worth individuals. This provision aims to enhance financial support for ambitious startups.
- Sitharaman mentioned plans to explore a separate Fund of Funds specifically designated for deep tech firms, although details on this initiative were not provided at the time of the announcement.
- The benefits under Section 80-IAC of the Income Tax Act will now extend for an additional five years. This extension allows startups 100% exemption from taxation on profits for a period of three years, even if they take longer to establish their businesses.
- To further ease business operations, the budget proposes to equalize the taxation of capital gains for both residents and non-residents (Foreign Institutional Investors) regarding their income from long-term capital gains on securities transfers.
- Credit availability for startups is being improved, with an increase in loan limits from ₹10 crore to ₹20 crore. Additionally, to make borrowing more accessible, the guarantee fee for loans in 27 specific focus sectors has been reduced to 1%.
- The budget highlights the government's ongoing commitment to fostering a supportive environment for startups, enhancing financial resources and relieving tax burdens to facilitate growth in the sector.
These measures reflect an effort to nurture innovation and entrepreneurship in India, particularly by enabling startups to thrive in a competitive landscape.
Important Sentences:
- Nirmala Sitharaman announced an additional ₹10,000 crore commitment to AIFs in the 2025 Union Budget.
- AIFs are essential for risky startups to attract investments from high-net-worth individuals.
- Plans for a separate Fund of Funds for deep tech firms are being considered.
- The tax exemption under Section 80-IAC for startups is extended for five more years.
- The budget is aimed at creating parity in capital gains taxation between residents and non-residents.
- Startups will see an increase in loan limits from ₹10 crore to ₹20 crore.
- The guarantee fee for loans in 27 focus sectors is reduced to 1% to facilitate easier borrowing.
- The measures indicate the government's commitment to a supportive startup ecosystem in India.
Economic and Social Development

India's Manufacturing Strategy Amid Trump's Comments
The article discusses the implications of U.S. President Donald Trump's comments to Apple Inc. CEO Tim Cook regarding manufacturing in India. It argues that India should not be overly concerned about Trump's assertion that Apple should not make India its next manufacturing hub after China. Instead, it suggests that India's focus should be on enhancing its investment appeal for global companies.
Key Points:
- Trump reportedly told Tim Cook that Apple should not build manufacturing operations in India, stating, "We put up with all the plants you built in China for years.”
- The article emphasizes that Cook's decisions are ultimately driven by business interests and shareholder expectations, rather than being influenced by a single political figure.
- India should aim to attract investments from Apple and other multinational companies that have relied on China for manufacturing, by creating a comprehensive manufacturing ecosystem similar to its automotive industry.
- Achieving true cost-competitiveness requires India to focus on both domestic and global markets, rather than limiting its manufacturing capabilities to local sales.
- The article posits that Trump's comments might reflect a desire rather than reality, highlighting the need for India to establish stable policies that encourage Apple to expand production and supplier networks locally.
- India should not be overly concerned about Trump's comments regarding tariff negotiations; the bilateral trade agreement with the U.S. remains under negotiation.
- The Indian government appears to be moving towards reducing tariffs and granting better market access, as evidenced by a recent trade deal with the U.K.
- A historical view suggests that India's economic acceleration is linked with greater openness to foreign trade and investment.
- Lowering tariffs and increasing competition in imports are advisable for India’s economic wellbeing, irrespective of external pressures or comments from foreign leaders.
Overall, the article advocates for India to pursue aggressive policies that bolster its manufacturing sector and to take proactive steps towards becoming a significant player in global supply chains.
Economic and Social Development

Oil Exploration Begins in Tripura
In a significant development for hydrocarbon exploration in Tripura, Oil India Limited (OIL) has initiated its exploration and production activities by drilling the Debtamura 1 well in the Gomati district on May 11, 2025.
Key Points:
- Historical Event: Debtamura 1 is noted as the first well drilled by any oil and gas company in Tripura, marking a crucial step in the region’s hydrocarbon exploration under the central government's Hydrocarbon Exploration and Licensing Policy regime.
- Location Details: The well is situated approximately 120 kilometers from Agartala, within the Baramura-Debtamura Reserved Forest, close to the Indo-Bangladesh border.
- Challenges Faced: OIL highlighted numerous challenges encountered during the exploration activities, including:
- A rugged and thickly vegetated landscape.
- Difficult surface logistics that involve navigating narrow hilly roads.
- The threat of monsoon, leading to flooding and landslides, which disrupted the construction of well plinths and the access roads.
- Company's Commitment: Despite the difficulties, OIL emphasized their determination and commitment to achieving self-reliance in the hydrocarbon sector as aligned with the “Atmanirbhar Bharat” initiative.
- Notable Attendees: The spudding ceremony was attended by several dignitaries including Rupjyoti Phukan, RCE of OIL; Maj General (Retd) Praveen Mathur, Advisor – Security (DGH); and other senior officials from OIL and related industries.
This milestone represents not only a step forward for OIL but also reflects broader goals for resource self-sufficiency and development in the northeastern region of India. The strategic decision to undertake exploration in Tripura underscores the importance of this geographical area in contributing to India's energy security and economic independence.
Economic and Social Development

Illicit Alcohol Poisoning in India
The article discusses the ongoing crisis of illicit alcohol consumption in India, particularly highlighting a recent tragedy in Amritsar, Punjab, where at least 23 people died from poisoning due to toxic liquor. This issue is characterized by a disturbing cycle of poverty, exploitation, and regulatory failure. Key points include:
Recurring Hooch Tragedies: Incidents of alcohol poisoning, often referred to as "hooch tragedies," are common in India, consistently impacting poor daily wage earners who are seeking affordable alcohol.
Illicit Alcohol Manufacturing: Bootleggers exploit the vulnerability of these workers, producing dangerous brews that contain toxic substances. This includes the dangerous practice of using industrial methanol, which poses a significant health risk.
Methanol as a Profit Source: Methanol, while not classified as illegal except when used in hooch, is cheaper than legally produced alcohol. Bootleggers can profit by illegally diluting and selling it to vulnerable consumers, often miscalculating dilution ratios that lead to fatalities.
Law Enforcement and Political Corruption: The involvement of local police and politicians in the illicit alcohol trade is widespread, with negligence leading to tragedies. Regulatory failures allow for a thriving illicit market.
Legal Challenges: The judicial process in cases of illicit liquor production is fraught with difficulties. Past convictions are rare, leading to a lack of accountability for the perpetrators.
Need for Regulatory Reform: A centralized system to regulate methanol transport and ingredient sourcing, along with stricter enforcement of existing poison laws, is necessary to curb the illicit trade.
Socio-Economic Factors: The root causes of this problem are deeply embedded in poverty, social inequality, and a lack of educational opportunities. Addressing these broader issues is crucial for combating the market for illicit liquor.
Call for Systemic Change: Efforts must focus on dismantling the infrastructure that supports these illegal activities, requiring a combination of legal reform and socio-economic development.
In summary, the article portrays a challenging landscape where systemic corruption, regulatory failures, and socio-economic disparities fuel the crisis of illicit alcohol consumption and its deadly consequences in India.
Economic and Social Development

Wholesale Price Inflation Drops Significantly
In April, India's wholesale price inflation dropped significantly to a 13-month low of 0.85%, primarily driven by decreases in prices of food articles, fuel, and manufactured goods. The reduction from 2.05% in March shows a notable easing trend compared to 1.19% in April of the previous year. Experts anticipate further moderation in the coming months due to favorable base effects.
Key highlights from the data include:
- Decrease in Food Prices: Food articles registered a deflation of 0.86% in April compared to inflation of 1.57% in March. Specifically, vegetable prices saw a significant drop, with an 18.26% deflation.
- Onion and Fruit Prices: Onion inflation decreased to 0.20% in April from 26.65% in March, while fruit inflation reduced from 20.78% to 8.38%.
- Deflation in Pulses and Potatoes: Pulses and potatoes saw deflation rates of 5.57% and 24.30%, respectively.
- Fuel and Power Prices: The deflation in fuel and power was measured at 2.18% in April, contrasting with a slight inflation of 0.20% in the previous month. The decline was attributed to falling prices of mineral oils.
- Oil Prices and OPEC+ Impact: Crude oil prices remained steady between USD 60-65 per barrel due to production increases announced by OPEC+, contributing to lower fuel costs.
- Manufactured Products: Inflation for manufactured products slightly decreased to 2.62% in April from 3.07% in March.
Industry experts from Barclays and ICRA project that the WPI could average below 2% in FY2026, which would assist in keeping inflation manageable, benefitting the overall economic outlook. The expectation of an early monsoon is positive for agricultural output, which could further impact food inflation advantages.
In parallel, data released on retail inflation indicates a significant drop, with it falling to a near 6-year low of 3.16% in April. This decrease is attributed to lower prices on vegetables, fruits, and protein-rich items, allowing the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) potential room for further monetary policy adjustments. In recent months, the RBI has already implemented a rate cut to bolster economic growth, with a current benchmark policy rate of 6%.
Overall, the inflation landscape suggests a continued trend of easing, influencing both wholesale and retail price dynamics positively while possibly leading to additional monetary policy interventions.
Important Points:
- Wholesale price inflation fell to 0.85% in April, the lowest in 13 months.
- Food article prices saw deflation, including a significant drop in vegetable prices.
- Onion inflation eased significantly, as well as fruit inflation.
- Fuel and power deflation reached 2.18% due to decreasing mineral oil prices.
- Crude oil prices remained stable due to OPEC+ production increases.
- Manufactured product inflation also decreased moderately.
- Experts predict sub-2% WPI inflation in FY2026, benefiting the overall economy.
- Retail inflation dropped to a near 6-year low of 3.16%, providing leeway for RBI to adjust monetary policy.
- RBI's recent rate cuts aim to stimulate economic growth amid external economic pressures.
Economic and Social Development

Budget 2025 Proposes Financial Reforms
On February 1, 2025, India's Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman introduced a series of proposed reforms targeting the financial sector as part of the Union Budget for 2025-26. These reforms aim to streamline compliance, expand services, create a stronger regulatory environment, and attract both domestic and international investments.
Key Proposals and Initiatives:
Technological Advancement in BFSI:
- A budget allocation of ₹500 crore for an AI centre of excellence.
- Implementation of digital infrastructure for global trade finance.
Regulatory Framework Overhaul:
- Introduction of a light-touch regulatory framework based on principles and trust.
- Formation of a High-Level Committee for Regulatory Reforms to review non-financial sector regulations and suggest improvements to enhance the ease of doing business.
Investment Friendliness Index:
- A new index to be launched in 2025, designed to promote competitive federalism among states, making them more attractive for investment.
Financial Stability and Development Framework:
- Establishment of a mechanism under the Financial Stability and Development Council (FSDC) aimed at assessing the impact of existing financial regulations and creating a more responsive framework for the development of the financial sector.
Legal Reforms:
- The introduction of the Jan Vishwas Bill 2.0 in Parliament aimed at the decriminalisation of over 100 provisions in various laws. This is intended to simplify legal processes, reduce operational burdens, and support the ease of doing business, particularly for micro, small, and medium enterprises (MSMEs).
Expert Opinions:
- Varun Khullar from LeadSquared emphasized that the Budget exemplifies India's commitment to integrating technology within the BFSI sector, which is expected to enhance operational efficiency and security while increasing financial accessibility.
- Ajay Bhargava from Khaitan & Co noted that these reforms mark a significant simplification of India's legal framework, aiming to invigorate the economy by making laws more accessible and relevant to businesses, especially small businesses.
Summary of Impacts:
- The proposed reforms signal a proactive approach to modernizing India's financial sector and regulatory environment, with an emphasis on trust and accessibility.
- The changes are expected to result in improved operational efficiencies, enhanced security in transactions, and greater access to financial services and investment opportunities across the country.
Important Sentences:
- "Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman proposed several financial sector reforms to ease compliance, expand services, and build a robust regulatory environment."
- "A High Level Committee for Regulatory Reforms would be set up to review all non-financial sector regulations."
- "An Investment Friendliness Index of States would be launched in 2025 to promote competitive cooperative federalism."
- "The Jan Vishwas Bill 2.0 aims to decriminalise more than 100 provisions in various laws, simplifying legal processes."
- "The Budget reflects a pivotal development for the BFSI sector, demonstrating India’s dedication to technological advancements and broader financial access."
Overall, the proposed initiatives are indicative of a strategic direction aimed at fostering a more agile and supportive environment for financial operations in India.
Economic and Social Development

Government Approves Startups for Tax Exemption
On May 15, 2025, the Indian government announced the approval of 187 startups for income tax exemption under the revamped Section 80-IAC of the Income Tax Act. This initiative is aimed at supporting startups, allowing them a 100% income tax deduction on profits for any three consecutive years within a ten-year period from the date of incorporation. The purpose of this tax benefit scheme is to foster innovation, create jobs, and promote wealth generation among emerging businesses.
Key points from the announcement:
- The Department for Promotion of Industry and Internal Trade (DPIIT) confirmed the approval of 187 startups during a meeting of the Inter-Ministerial Board (IMB).
- With this latest approval, over 3,700 startups have received income tax exemptions since the inception of this scheme.
- The government has extended the eligibility for claiming benefits under Section 80-IAC, now allowing startups incorporated before April 1, 2030, to apply. This extension provides more opportunities for new ventures to access financial relief.
- The updated evaluation framework introduced by DPIIT has streamlined the application process, making it more structured and transparent. Complete applications are now reviewed within 120 days, aiming to ensure quicker decision-making and minimize procedural delays.
- Startups that were not approved in this round have been encouraged to reassess their applications. The DPIIT invites applicants to emphasize their technological innovation, market potential, scalability, and contributions to employment and economic growth in their submissions.
In summary, this initiative showcases the government’s ongoing commitment to supporting startups in their growth phases, enhancing their viability, and promoting a conducive environment for innovation and economic development in the country.
Economic and Social Development

India's Inflation Rates Show Improvement
Summary of Inflation Rates in India
Recent data indicates a noteworthy moderation in both wholesale and retail inflation rates in India for April. This trend marks a clear shift in economic conditions, providing relief for consumers and presenting implications for government and monetary policy.
Key Highlights:
Wholesale Inflation:
- Recorded at 0.9% in April, the lowest level in 14 months.
- Historically, wholesale price inflation has not been the primary concern for India, as it has often been negative or low over the past two years.
Retail Inflation:
- Measured by the Consumer Price Index, retail inflation reached 3.2% in April, the lowest rate in six years.
- This marks a slight decrease from 3.3% in March and remains within the Reserve Bank of India’s target zone of 2% to 6%.
- The previous year's retail inflation was pegged at 4.6%, closer to the RBI's target of 4% and the lowest since 2018-19.
External Influences:
- Retail inflation was previously pushed above 6% due to supply shocks, including adverse weather conditions, the Covid-19 pandemic, and geopolitical tensions like the Russia-Ukraine war.
Future Inflation Projections:
- Analysts from ICICI Securities forecast further moderation, projecting 3.5% inflation for FY26, a significant drop from the sustained 6% levels observed from FY21 to FY23.
- This optimistic outlook is largely predicated on expected declines in crude oil prices and predictions for an “above-normal” monsoon, which would enhance agricultural productivity.
Policy Implications:
- The decline in inflation rates opens up policy space for governmental financial maneuvers.
- The Indian government increased excise duties on petrol and diesel by Rs 2 per litre in April, aiming to generate an additional Rs 300 billion in revenue amidst easing crude oil prices.
- On the monetary side, the moderation in inflation suggests the Reserve Bank of India may implement further interest rate cuts, potentially reducing rates by another 50 basis points in upcoming policy reviews scheduled for June and August.
This comprehensive shift in inflation rates reflects a stabilizing economic environment, much to the relief of consumers and policymakers alike, while paving the way for strategic adjustments in both fiscal and monetary policies.
Important Points:
- Wholesale inflation at 0.9% in April is a 14-month low.
- Retail inflation drops to 3.2% in April, the lowest in six years.
- Retail inflation has often exceeded 6% due to various supply shocks.
- Last financial year's retail inflation was 4.6%, marking improvement.
- Analysts predict inflation may moderate to 3.5% in FY26.
- Anticipated declines in crude oil prices and positive monsoon forecasts are key to inflation projections.
- Government increases excise duties to boost revenue amidst inflation moderation.
- The RBI may cut interest rates by 50 basis points in upcoming reviews.
Economic and Social Development

Revamping Periodic Labour Force Survey
The Indian Union Government has announced a significant revamp of the Periodic Labour Force Survey (PLFS), originally initiated in 2017. This update seeks to broaden the survey's coverage to include employment and unemployment data from rural areas, in addition to the existing urban data. The Ministry of Statistics & Programme Implementation (MoSPI) has highlighted several key changes planned for the PLFS, aimed at improving the accuracy and frequency of labor market indicators.
Important Points:
- The PLFS will now encompass both rural and urban employment data to provide better insights into the labor market.
- The sampling design will be revamped to facilitate the production of high-frequency labor market indicators.
- Key employment indicators such as Labour Force Participation Rate, Worker Population Ratio, and Unemployment Rate will be estimated monthly for both urban and rural areas on an all-India level.
- Previously, urban area data was released quarterly, but the new plan includes quarterly estimates for rural areas as well starting in 2025.
- MoSPI has planned to release annual estimates for important employment and unemployment indicators considering usual status (ps+ss) and Current Weekly Status (CWS) for both rural and urban areas.
- The revamped PLFS will collect data based on two reference periods: one year for usual status and seven days for CWS.
- The new sampling design for the PLFS is set to start from January 2025, with the first monthly bulletin for April 2025 expected shortly thereafter.
- The first quarterly bulletin, covering both rural and urban areas for the quarter of April to June 2025, is scheduled for release in August 2025.
- A total of 22,692 First Stage Units (FSUs) will be included in the survey, with 12,504 in rural and 10,188 in urban areas—a significant increase from the previous 12,800 FSUs.
- Each selected FSU will survey 12 households, leading to an overall sample size of approximately 272,304 households. This is a 2.65 times increase from the prior coverage of around 102,400 households up until December 2024.
- The expanded sample size is expected to yield more reliable estimates of labor market indicators with improved precision.
Overall, the revamped PLFS is poised to enhance the understanding and analysis of labor market dynamics in India by integrating comprehensive data from both rural and urban sectors, thereby addressing existing gaps in employment and unemployment statistics.
Economic and Social Development

Colombia Joins China's Belt and Road Initiative
Summary of Colombia Joining China's Belt and Road Initiative
On May 14, 2025, Colombia officially joined China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), marking a significant move in the geopolitical landscape of Latin America. This decision comes amidst increasing tensions between the U.S. and China, with Latin America becoming a critical battleground as both superpowers vie for influence in the region.
- Strategic Shift: Colombia's agreement to join the BRI signifies a strategic pivot towards China, potentially reshaping its foreign relations.
- Historical Context: China has become the largest trading partner for several Latin American countries, including Brazil, Peru, and Chile, surpassing the U.S. in trade relations. Notably, two-thirds of Latin American countries have signed on to the BRI, highlighting a growing alignment with Beijing.
- Investment Opportunities: Colombia's Foreign Ministry described the BRI agreement as a "historic step" that creates new avenues for investment, technological collaboration, and sustainable development.
During a meeting between Colombian President Gustavo Petro and Chinese President Xi Jinping, Xi encouraged enhanced cooperation following Colombia’s formal integration into the BRI. Petro hailed the agreement as a transformation in Colombia's global interactions, indicating a commitment to equality and freedom in foreign relations.
- BRI Overview: The Belt and Road Initiative has been a cornerstone of Xi Jinping's vision to expand China's economic and political influence worldwide for over a decade. The initiative facilitates funding for infrastructure projects across various nations, giving China substantial political and economic leverage.
A significant highlight of this week's China-CELAC (Community of Latin American and Caribbean States) Forum in Beijing was Xi’s pledge of $9.2 billion in credit to support development initiatives across Latin America. This funding aims to bolster infrastructure, promote clean energy, and enhance bilateral cooperation in areas like counterterrorism and organized crime.
- Regional Responses: During the forum, leaders such as Chilean President Gabriel Boric and Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva expressed the need for multilateral cooperation and emphasized the importance of avoiding a new Cold War, asserting that their countries should work towards a harmonious global order.
Xi addressed the challenges posed by increasing unilateralism and protectionism impacting international trade, calling for stronger multilateral coordination among Global South nations.
- U.S.-China Rivalry: The backdrop to Colombia's agreement is the ongoing rivalry between the U.S. and China in Latin America. The U.S. has expressed concerns about Chinese influence, particularly regarding strategic assets like the Panama Canal. The Trump administration had claimed that the Hong Kong-based CK Hutchison’s operations in this region posed a national security threat. In response, Beijing has dismissed such concerns as unfounded.
Overall, Colombia's accession to the Belt and Road Initiative underlines a significant geopolitical realignment in Latin America, favoring growing Chinese influence and investment while challenging long-standing U.S. dominance in the hemisphere.
Key Points:
- Colombia formally joined China's Belt and Road Initiative on May 14, 2025.
- The agreement signifies a strategic alignment with China against U.S. influence in Latin America.
- Colombia's Foreign Ministry hailed the move as a critical opportunity for investment and cooperation.
- Xi Jinping emphasizes multilateralism and coordination during discussions at the China-CELAC Forum.
- The U.S. and China are engaged in an ongoing rivalry for influence and access to critical infrastructure in the region.
International Relation

Scientist Wins World Food Prize
Summary of News Article on Mariangela Hungria's World Food Prize Award:
Brazilian scientist Mariangela Hungria has been awarded the prestigious World Food Prize for her pioneering research in biological agriculture, specifically for advocating against chemical fertilizers. Her work focuses on biological nitrogen fixation, which utilizes soil bacteria to enhance plant growth, thus reducing the need for synthetic fertilizers that can harm the environment.
- Honoree: Mariangela Hungria, a Brazilian microbiologist.
- Recognition: Awarded the World Food Prize for her contributions to agricultural research.
- Prize Amount: $500,000 from the Iowa-based World Food Prize Foundation.
- Background: Hungria has devoted over 40 years to researching biological seed and soil treatments, partnering with Brazilian farmers to improve agricultural practices.
- Nobel Laureate Connection: The World Food Prize was established by Norman Borlaug, Nobel Peace Prize winner known for his contributions to boosting crop yields globally.
- Early Motivation: Hungria has always aimed to alleviate hunger, which directed her research focus towards biological nitrogen fixation.
- Research Focus: Studied the interaction between soil bacteria and plant roots to naturally produce nitrogen, promoting high crop yields without relying on chemical fertilizers.
- Impact on Brazil: Her research significantly increased yields for crops like wheat, corn, and especially soybeans, contributing to Brazil's status as the world's largest soybean producer.
- Ecosystem Concerns: While Brazilian agriculture faces criticism for deforestation linked to soybean farming, Hungria's methods aim to enhance soil health, potentially reducing the need for further deforestation.
- Future Award Event: Hungria will receive her award at a gathering in October, which includes global agricultural researchers and officials.
- Acknowledgment of Research Impact: Gebisa Ejeta, chair of the World Food Prize Laureate Selection Committee, highlighted Hungria's transformative effect on agricultural practices in South America.
Hungria's achievement challenges prevailing agricultural practices that prioritize chemical fertilizers and aligns with a growing movement towards sustainable farming methods that prioritize environmental health while maintaining productivity.
Economic and Social Development